The Insider's Choice for Election Analysis

POST-ELECTION HoUSE RACE RATINGS

NOVEMBER 7, 2008

Legend

Arrows indicate turned seats.Seats with a blue arrow pointing to the left indicate the seat turned Democratis. Seats with a red arrow pointing to the right indicate that the seat turned Republican. Seats with a green circle have not been called.

Bolded name denotes opposing party's seat
Italicized name denotes Freshman member
* denotes possible incumbent retirement
# denotes possible serious primary challenge

LIKELY DEMOCRATIC

LEAN DEMOCRATIC

DEMOCRATIC TOSS UP
DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AZ-1 Turned DemocraticOPEN (Renzi) R+2
AZ-5 Harry Mitchell R+4
AZ-8 Gabrielle Giffords R+1
IL-14 Bill Foster R+5
IN-9 Baron Hill R+7
KS-3 Dennis Moore R+4
KY-3 John Yarmuth D+2
MN-1 Tim Walz R+1
MS-1 Travis Childers R+10
NY-13 Turned DemocraticOPEN (Fossella) D+1
NY-20 Kirsten Gillibrand R+3
NY-24 Michael Arcuri R+1
NY-25 Turned DemocraticOPEN (Walsh) D+3
OH-18 Zack Space R+6
OR-5 OPEN (Hooley) D+1
PA-4 Jason Altmire R+3
TX-23 Ciro Rodriguez R+4
VA-11 Turned DemocraticOPEN (Davis) R+1

14 DEMOCRATS
4 REPUBLICANS
DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
CA-11 Jerry McNerney R+3
FL-24 Turned DemocraticTom Feeney R+3
GA-8 Jim Marshall R+8
IL-11 Turned DemocraticOPEN (Weller) R+1
KS-2 Turned RepublicanNancy Boyda R+7
NM-1 Turned DemocraticOPEN (Wilson) D+2
OH-15 Race has not been calledOPEN (Pryce) R+1
OH-16 Turned DemocraticOPEN (Regula) R+4
PA-10 Chris Carney R+8
PA-12 John Murtha D+5
WI-8 Steve Kagen R+4

6 DEMOCRATS
5 REPUBLICANS
DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-5 OPEN (Cramer) R+6
LA-6 Turned RepublicanDon Cazayoux R+7
NH-1 Carol Shea-Porter R+0
PA-11 Paul Kanjorski D+5
TX-22 Turned RepublicanNick Lampson R+15

5 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS

REPUBLICAN TOSS UP

LEAN REPUBLICAN

LIKELY REPUBLICAN
DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-2 Turned DemocraticOPEN (Everett) R+13
AK-AL Race has not been calledDon Young R+14
CA-4 Race has not been calledOPEN (Doolittle) R+11
CO-4 Turned DemocraticMarilyn Musgrave R+9
CT-4 Turned DemocraticChristopher Shays D+5
FL-8 Turned DemocraticRic Keller R+3
FL-21 Lincoln Diaz-Balart R+6
FL-25 Mario Diaz-Balart R+4
ID-1 Turned DemocraticBill Sali R+19
IL-10 Mark Kirk D+4
KY-2 OPEN (Lewis) R+13
LA-4 Race has not been calledOPEN (McCrery) R+7
MD-1 Race has not been calledOPEN (Gilchrest) R+10
MI-7 Turned DemocraticTim Walberg R+2
MI-9 Turned DemocraticJoe Knollenberg R+0
MN-3 OPEN (Ramstad) R+1
MN-6 Michele Bachmann R+5
MO-9 OPEN (Hulshof) R+7
NE-2 Lee Terry R+9
NV-3 Turned DemocraticJon Porter D+1
NJ-3 Turned DemocraticOPEN (Saxton) D+3
NJ-7 OPEN (Ferguson) R+1
NM-2 Turned DemocraticOPEN (Pearce) R+6
NY-26 OPEN (Reynolds) R+3
NY-29 Turned DemocraticRandy Kuhl R+5
NC-8 Turned DemocraticRobin Hayes R+3
OH-1 Turned DemocraticSteve Chabot R+1
PA-3 Turned DemocraticPhil English R+2
VA-2 Turned DemocraticThelma Drake R+6
WA-8 Race has not been calledDave Reichert D+2

30 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS
DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AZ-3 John Shadegg R+6
CA-50 Brian Bilbray R+5
IN-3 Mark Souder R+16
MO-6 Sam Graves R+5
NV-2 Dean Heller R+8
OH-2 Jean Schmidt R+13
SC-1 Henry Brown R+10
TX-7 John Culberson R+16
TX-10 Michael McCaul R+13
VA-5 Race has not been calledVirgil Goode R+6
WV-2 Shelley Moore Capito R+5
WY-AL OPEN (Cubin) R+19

12 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS
DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-3 Mike Rogers R+4
CA-3 Dan Lungren R+7
CA-26 David Dreier R+4
CA-45 Mary Bono Mack R+3
CA-46 Dana Rohrabacher R+6
FL-13 Vern Buchanan R+4
FL-16 Turned RepublicanTim Mahoney R+2
FL-18 Ileana Ros-Lehtinen R+4
IL-6 Peter Roskam R+3
IL-13 Judy Biggert R+5
IA-4 Tom Latham D+0
LA-7 Charles Boustany R+7
MI-8 Mike Rogers R+2
MI-11 Thad McCotter R+1
MN-2 John Kline R+3
NJ-5 Scott Garrett R+4
NC-5 Virginia Foxx R+15
OH-7 OPEN (Hobson) R+6
OH-12 Patrick Tiberi R+1
OH-14 Steve LaTourette R+2
OK-1 John Sullivan R+13
OK-4 Tom Cole R+13
PA-5 OPEN (Peterson) R+10
PA-6 Jim Gerlach D+2
PA-15 Charlie Dent D+2
PA-18 Tim Murphy R+2
SC-2 Joe Wilson R+9
VA-10 Frank Wolf R+5

27 REPUBLICANS
1 DEMOCRATS

 

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