The Insider's Choice for Election Analysis

2010 SENATE RACE RATINGS

December 18, 2008

Senate Lineup: 54 Democrats, 44 Republicans, 2 Independents
Senators with names in parentheses are retiring.

The chart below provides a spectrum that analyzes the vulnerability (the chances of the seat switching parties) of the Senate races up this cycle.

Solid: These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested.
Likely: These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.
Lean: These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage.
Toss Up: These are the most competitive races; either party has a good chance of winning.

DEMOCRATS | 17 HELD SEATS

SOLID D (11)

Lincoln (AR)

Dodd (CT)

Kaufman (DE)

Inouye* (HI)

IL (Obama)

Bayh (IN)

Mikulski (MD)

Schumer (NY-A)

NY-B (Clinton)

Wyden (OR)

Leahy (VT)

LIKELY D (5)

Boxer (CA)

Reid (NV)

Dorgan (ND)

Murray (WA)

Feingold (WI)

LEAN D (1)

CO (Salazar)

TOSS UP (0)

LEAN R (0)

LIKELY R (0)

SOLID R (0)

REPUBLICANS | 20 HELD SEATS

SOLID D (0)

LIKELY D (0)

LEAN D (0)

TOSS UP (3)

FL (Martinez)

Bunning* (KY)

Vitter (LA)

LEAN R (2)

KS (Brownback)

Specter* (PA)

LIKELY R (3)

Bond (MO)

Voinovich (OH)

Coburn (OK)

SOLID R (12)

Shelby (AL)

Murkowski (AK)

McCain (AZ)

Isakson (GA)

Crapo (ID)

Grassley* (IA)

Gregg (NH)

Burr (NC)

DeMint (SC)

Thune (SD)

TX (Bailey Hutchison#)

Bennett (UT)

* = potential retirement

# = Texas GOP Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison has announced her intention to resign her seat sometime in 2009 or early 2010. The rating is temporarily pending her resignation.

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